_____________________________________________________________________
E X T R E M E M A R K E T C O M M E N T A R Y
_____________________________________________________________________
The STOCK INDEXES http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=indexes
The June NASDAQ 100 closed higher on Wednesday due to short covering as it consolidated some of Monday's decline. The
high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish
signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. If June extends Monday's decline, the 20-day moving average crossing at
1183.32 is the next downside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1183.32 are needed to confirm that a
short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 1281.75. Second resistance is February's
high crossing at 1285.25. First support is Monday's low crossing at 1203.50. Second support is the 20-day moving average
crossing at 1183.32.
The June S&P 500 index closed higher on Wednesday due to short covering as it consolidated some of Monday's decline. The
high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish
signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. If June extends Monday's decline, the 20-day moving average crossing at
764.90 is the next downside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 764.90 would confirm that a short-term
top has been posted. If June renews the rally off March's low, February's high crossing at 867.50 is the next upside target. First
resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 830.50. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 833.20. First support is
Monday's low crossing at 775.70. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 764.90.
The Dow closed higher on Wednesday due to short covering as it consolidated some of Monday's decline. The high-range close
sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish signaling that sideways
to lower prices are possible near-term. If the Dow extends Monday's decline, the 20-day moving average crossing at 7326 is the
next downside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 7326 would confirm that a short-term top has been
posted. First resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 7931. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 7970. First
support is Monday's low crossing at 7437. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 7326.
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INTEREST RATES http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=interest
June T-bonds closed up 28/32's at 130-19.
June T-bonds closed higher on Wednesday as it extended the rebound off last week's low. The high-range close sets the stage
for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher
prices are possible near-term. If June extends the rally off last week's low, the reaction high crossing at 132-18 is the next
upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 127-21 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.
First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 132-18. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 136-17. First support
is the 10-day moving average crossing at 129-02. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 127-21.
ENERGY MARKETS http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=energy
May crude oil closed lower on Wednesday and below the 20-day moving average crossing at 49.60 as it extends this week's
decline. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling
that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 43.74 is
the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 51.77 would temper the near-term bearish
outlook. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 49.60. Second resistance is the 10-day moving average
crossing at 51.77. First support is today's low crossing at 47.26. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 43.74.
May heating oil closed lower on Wednesday as it extended this week's decline. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady
opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term.
Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 132.41 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. Closes above
the 10-day moving average crossing at 142.36 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. First resistance is the 10-day
moving average crossing at 142.36. Second resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 150.50. First support is the 20-day
moving average crossing at 131.81. Second support is today's low crossing at 129.98.
May unleaded gas closed lower on Wednesday as it extended this week's decline. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady
to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-
term. If May extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 125.61 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-
day moving average crossing at 147.03 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. First resistance is today's high crossing at
141.39. Second resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 141.07. First support is today's low crossing at 134.11.
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 125.61.
May Henry natural closed lower on Wednesday as it extends last week's decline. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady
to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices
are possible near-term. If May extends this year's decline, monthly support crossing at 3.390 is the next downside target. Closes
above the 10-day moving average crossing at 4.075 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the
10-day moving average crossing at 4.075. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.380. First support is today's low
crossing at 3.629. Second support is monthly support crossing at 3.390.
CURRENCIES
The June Dollar closed higher on Wednesday due to short covering as it consolidates some of Tuesday's decline. The mid-range
close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways
to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends this week's rally, the 20-day moving average crossing at 86.55 is the
next upside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 86.55 would confirm that a short-term low has been
posted. Closes below the weekly uptrend line crossing near 83.70 would confirm that a major top in the Dollar has been posted
while opening the door for a larger-degree decline this spring. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 86.55.
Second resistance is Monday's high crossing at 86.61. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 84.89. Second
support is the reaction low crossing at 83.14.
The June Euro closed lower on Wednesday but remains above the 20-day moving average crossing at 131.441. The mid-range
close sets the stage for a steady opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower
prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 131.441 would confirm that a short-term top
has been posted. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 134.421 would temper the near-term bearish outlook in
the market. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 134.421. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at
137.370. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 131.441. Second support is Monday's low crossing at 131.140.
The June British Pound closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday as it consolidates some of Monday's decline. The
high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish
signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.4216 are
needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 1.4449 would
temper the near-term bearish outlook. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1.4449. Second resistance is last
Tuesday's high crossing at 1.4782. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.4216. Second support is Monday's
low crossing at 1.4112.
The June Swiss Franc closed lower on Wednesday but remains above the 20-day moving average crossing at .8707. The mid-
range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to
lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at .8707 are needed to confirm that a
short-term top has been posted. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at .8841 would temper the near-term bearish
outlook. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at .8841. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at
.8980. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at .8707. Second support is Monday's low crossing at .8672.
The June Canadian Dollar closed unchanged on Wednesday as it consolidates some of Monday's decline. The high-range close
sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to
lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 78.48 is the next downside
target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 80.61 would temper the near-term bearish outlook in the market.
First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 80.61. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 82.09. First
support is today's low crossing at 78.71. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 78.48.
The June Japanese Yen closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday as it consolidated some of Tuesday's decline. The
high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish
signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at
.10054 is the next downside target. Closes above the reaction high crossing at .10435 would temper the near-term bearish
outlook. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at .10252. Second resistance is the 10-day moving average
crossing at .10283. First support is today's low crossing at .10057. Second support is the reaction low crossing at .10054.
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PRECIOUS METALS http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=metals
April gold closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday as it consolidates some of Monday's decline. The mid-range close
sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to
lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the reaction low crossing at 882.70 would renew the decline off February's
high. If April renews this month's rally, February's high crossing at 1007.70 is the next upside target. First resistance is today's
high crossing at 932.50. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 967.80. First support is Monday's low crossing at
908.60. Second support is this month's low crossing at 882.70.
May silver closed lower on Wednesday as it extends this week's decline. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower
opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term.
Closes below last Wednesday's low crossing at 12.955 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If May renews the
rally off March's low, February's high crossing at 14.635 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 10-day moving
average crossing at 13.391. Second resistance is last Monday's high crossing at 13.885. First support is Tuesday's low crossing
at 12.570. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 12.465.
May copper posted an inside day with a slightly higher close on Wednesday as it consolidates above the 10-day moving average
crossing at 182.01. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are
overbought, diverging and are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are still possible. Closes below the 20-
day moving average crossing at 174.84 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If May renews this month's
rally, the 25% retracement level of the 2008 decline crossing at 192.28 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Friday's
high crossing at 189.70. Second resistance is the 25% retracement level crossing at 192.28. First support is Monday's low
crossing at 175.25. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 174.84.
FOOD & FIBER http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=food
May coffee posted an inside day with a lower close on Wednesday as it consolidates below the 10-day moving average crossing
at 11.596. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI remain
bearish hinting that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 11.253 are
needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If May renews the rally off March's low, the 75% retracement level of
this year's decline crossing at 12.021 is the next upside target.
May cocoa closed higher on Wednesday as it consolidates above the 50% retracement level of the February-March decline
crossing at 25.56. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are
overbought but are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If May extends this
month's rally, the 62% retracement level of the February-March decline crossing at 26.41 is the next upside target. Closes
below the reaction low crossing at 25.15 would temper the friendly outlook in the market.
May sugar closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday as it consolidated some of Monday's decline. Profit taking
tempered early gains and the low-range close set the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI
are oversold but remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May renews Monday's
decline, the reaction low crossing at 12.42 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at
12.96 would temper the near-term bearish outlook in the market.
May cotton closed lower due to profit taking on Wednesday as it consolidated some of Tuesday's rally. Early strength led to a
test of the 50% retracement level of this year's decline crossing at 46.72. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to
lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term.
If May extends this month's rally, the 62% retracement level crossing at 48.08 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-
day moving average crossing at 43.30 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.
GRAINS http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=grains
May Corn closed down 8 3/4-cents at 3.96.
May corn posted an inside day with a lower close on Wednesday as it consolidated some of Tuesday's rally. The low-range
close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling
that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If May extends the rally off March's low, the reaction high crossing at
4.13 are the next upside target. Closes below Monday's low crossing at 3.79 3/4 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has
been posted. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 4.05 1/2. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.13. First
support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 3.93 1/4. Second support is Monday's low crossing at 3.79 3/4.
May wheat closed down 7 1/4-cents at 5.25 1/2.
May wheat posted an inside day with a lower close on Wednesday as it consolidated some of Tuesday's rally. The high-range
close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI have turning bullish signaling that
sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If May extends Tuesday's rally, March's high crossing at 5.61 is the next
upside target. Closes below March's low would open the door for a possible test of December's low crossing at 4.87. First
resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 5.33. Second resistance is March's high crossing at 5.61. First support is Monday's
low crossing at 5.01. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 4.99.
May Kansas City Wheat closed down 7 1/4-cents at 5.66.
Kansas City Wheat posted an inside day with a lower close on Wednesday due to profit taking as it consolidated some of
Tuesday's rally. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are
oversold and are turning bullish signaling that a double bottom with the early-March low has been posted. Closes above the 20-
day moving average crossing at 5.77 1/4 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-
day moving average crossing at 5.77 1/4. Second resistance is March's high crossing at 6.12. First support is Monday's low
crossing at 5.46 1/2. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 5.41 1/2.
May Minneapolis wheat closed up 4 1/4-cents at 6.43 1/2.
May Minneapolis wheat closed higher on Wednesday as it extended Tuesday's rally. The high-range close sets the stage for a
steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are
possible near-term. If May extends this week's rally, the reaction high crossing at 6.48 1/2 is the next upside target. Closes
above the aforementioned resistance level would renew the rally off March's low while opening the door for a possible test of
the reaction high crossing at 6.72 1/2 later this spring. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 6.21 3/4 is needed
to temper the near-term friendly outlook. First resistance is March's high crossing at 6.48 1/2. Second resistance is the reaction
high crossing at 6.57 3/4. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 6.26 1/4. Second support is the 20-day moving
average crossing at 6.21 3/4.
SOYBEAN COMPLEX
May soybeans closed unchanged at 9.52.
May soybeans closed unchanged on Wednesday as it consolidates above the 10-day moving average crossing at 9.43 1/2. The
low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish
signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the previous reaction high crossing at 9.80 are
needed to renew the rally off March's low. Closes below Monday's low crossing at 8.97 would confirm that a short-term top
has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 9.59 1/2. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 9.80.
First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 9.43 1/2. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 9.13.
May soybean meal closed down $1.00 at $294.30.
May soybean meal closed lower due to profit taking on Wednesday as it consolidated some of Tuesday's rally but remains
above the 10-day moving average crossing at 293.80. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on
Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term.
If May extends Tuesday's rally, the reaction high crossing at 309.00 is the next upside target. Closes below Monday's low
crossing at 278.00 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 297.20.
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 309.00. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 293.80.
Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 284.40.
May soybean oil closed down 12-cents at 33.50.
May soybean oil closed lower due to profit taking on Wednesday as it consolidated some of Tuesday's rally. The mid-range
close sets the stage for a steady opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral hinting that sideways to
higher prices are possible near-term. If June renew the rally off March's low, February's high crossing at 35.00 is the next
upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 31.80 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been
posted. First resistance is last week's high crossing at 33.78. Second resistance is February's high crossing at 35.00. First
support is Tuesday's gap crossing at 32.34. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 31.80.
LIVESTOCK http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock
April hogs closed down $0.20 at $60.15.
April hogs closed lower on Wednesday as it consolidates below the 20-day moving average. The mid-range close sets the stage
for a steady opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible
near-term. If April extends the decline, the reaction low crossing at 58.62 is the next downside target. If April renews the rally
off February's low, the reaction high crossing at 64.05 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 10-day moving average
crossing at 60.91. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 61.49. First support is last Monday's low
crossing at 59.75. Second support is February's low crossing at 56.90.
May bellies closed up $0.45 at $87.00.
May bellies closed higher on Wednesday as it extended this week's short covering rally. The mid-range close sets the stage for a
steady opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-
term. If May renews Monday's decline, the reaction low crossing at 79.55 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day
moving average crossing at 87.65 would temper the near-term bearish outlook in the market. First resistance is the 10-day
moving average crossing at 87.65. Second resistance is today's high crossing at 87.80. First support is Tuesday's low crossing
at 83.05. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 79.55.
April cattle closed down $0.15 at 83.77.
April cattle closed lower due to profit taking on Wednesday as it consolidates below the 20-day moving average crossing at
84.05. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling
that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If April extends Monday's decline, the reaction low crossing at 82.00 is
the next downside target. Multiple closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 84.51 would temper the near-term
bearish outlook.
April feeder cattle closed up $0.12 at $93.30.
April Feeder cattle closed higher on Wednesday due to short covering as it consolidated some of Monday's decline. The high-
range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that
sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If April renews Monday's decline, the reaction low crossing at 91.70 is the next
downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 93.71 would confirm that a short-term low has been
posted.
____________________________________________________________________________
E X T R E M E F U T U R E S
____________________________________________________________________________
Updated every 10 minutes around the clock.
More at http://quotes.ino.com/analysis/extremes/futures/
WINNERS
LB.N09 LUMBER (RANDOM LENGTH) Jul 2009 188.0 6.7 +3.70
NK.M09 NIKKEI 225 INDEX Jun 2009 8615 250 +2.98
GCE SGI GLOBAL CARBON INDEX (EUR) 49.95 1.37 +2.82
EPL.M09 EURO/POLISH ZLOTY Jun 2009 0.22124 0.00548 +2.54
PB.N09 FROZEN PORK BELLIES Jul 2009 85.50 1.95 +2.33
EMX MSCI EMERGING MARKETS INDEX 582.50 12.54 +2.21
DJ.M09 DJ INDUSTRIAL AVG Jun 2009 7715 153 +2.03
SP.U10 S&P 500 INDEX Sep 2010 797.6 14.3 +1.84
SMP.Z09 S&P SMALLCAP 600 Dec 2009 216.6 3.0 +1.42
BR.Y$$ BRAZILIAN REAL Cash 0.43917 0.00612 +1.41
LOSERS
BCX.N09 CBOT SOYBEAN CRUSH INDEX Jul 2009 60.75 -3.50 -5.45
DA.M09 MILK CLASS III Jun 2009 12.48 -0.48 -3.74
RB.K09 RBOB GASOLINE May 2009 1.3717 -0.0496 -3.48
CL.K09 CRUDE OIL May 2009 48.39 -1.27 -2.55
C.K09 CORN May 2009 395.75 -9.00 -2.22
YC.K09 CORN (MINI) May 2009 396.00 -8.75 -2.17
NG.K09 NATURAL GAS May 2009 3.695 -0.081 -2.17
RR.U09 ROUGH RICE Sep 2009 11.87 -0.25 -2.10
GI.J09 S&P GSCI COMMODITY INDEX Apr 2009 353.20 -6.30 -1.75
HO.N09 HEATING OIL Jul 2009 1.3994 -0.0240 -1.69
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E X T R E M E S T O C K S
____________________________________________________________________________
Updated every 10 minutes around the clock.
More at http://quotes.ino.com/analysis/extremes/stocks/
WINNERS
NSEC NATIONAL SECURITY GROUP 8.75 1.61 +22.55
CTCM CTC MEDIA INC 5.52 0.96 +21.05
PRRFY PREMIER FOODS PLC 5.50 0.90 +19.57
ISLE ISLE of CAPRI CASINOS 6.22 0.93 +17.58
MAC MACERICH CO (THE) 7.31 1.05 +16.77
ASH ASHLAND INC 11.91 1.58 +15.30
PFX PHOENIX CO INC 7.45% 7.99 1.04 +14.96
SNBC SUN BANCORP INC 5.96 0.77 +14.84
MHO M/I HOMES INC 8.02 1.03 +14.74
SHI SINOPEC SHANG PETROCHEM 28.21 3.59 +14.58
LOSERS
TKP POLARIS ACQUISITION CORP 5.75 -3.03 -34.51
GRM GENERAL MOTORS CORP 6.48 -2.77 -29.95
WAC/WI WALTER INVESTMENT MGMT C 7.71 -2.54 -24.78
HLM.PR HILLMAN GROUP CAP TRUST 11.6% 10.000 -3.000 -23.08
APOL APOLLO GROUP INC CL A 66.5000 -11.8300 -15.10
CELG CELGENE CORP 38.47 -5.93 -13.36
LWAY LIFEWAY FOODS INC 7.08 -0.92 -11.50
FCBC FIRST COMMUNICATIONS BANCSHARES VA 10.490 -1.180 -10.11
AUXL AUXILIUM PHARMACEUTICALS 24.95 -2.77 -9.99
AHL.PR.A ASPEN INSURANCE HOLDINGS PR 12.10 -1.33 -9.90
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