Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Triple Ground

Triple foundation is turning a model consisting of three equal minima, accompanied by a break above the resistance. Although this model can be formed relatively short, usually it is a long-term model requiring many months for its formation (during day time scale). First, we explore some of the models and then look at an example.

1. Previous trend: As with any turning model to be the trend for the preceding turn. In the case of a triple reason to be down long-term trend or a lateral trading range. In some cases it will be a pronounced descending trend, which should turn. In other cases, the descending trend of giving way to a long range side-commerce.

2. Three minimum: All three of the minimum must be sufficiently equal to each other, well-separated and celebrate significant turning points. At least not necessarily have to be absolutely equal, but should be relatively equal to each other.

3. Volume: As a triple-base, full amount is usually reduced. Volume sometimes increases near the minima. After the third reason, increased during the subsequent upward and break in the resistance greatly increases the reliability of the model.

4. Breakthrough Resistance: As with many other models, turning, triple-base is not completed before the break resistance. The highest point in the formation, which is the highest peak of the intermediate, said a key resistance level.

5. Resistance becomes support: Broken resistance becomes potential level of support and sometimes occurs testing the new level of support at the first correction. Since the triple base is a long-term model, testing newly-level support can occur through a long period of time.

6. Objective: The distance from the break of resistance to the minima can be measured, and deferred to the level of break resistance for the purpose of eventual promotion. The longer a model, so bolee significant breakthrough will be final. Triple ground that lasts 6 months or more constitutes the main foundation and the price objective is unlikely to be effective.

As the formation of a triple reason, the model can begin to resemble a variety of models. Before the third base form, the model may look like a double base. Three equal the minimum can also be found in the descending triangle or rectangle. Of all these models, only the descending triangle is bearish context, while others are neutral until a breakthrough occurs.

Accordingly, the triple base should also be seen as a neutral model, until a breakthrough level of resistance. The failure to break below the support points to the potential force of the bulls, but buyers have not yet won the confrontation, has not yet broken resistance level. The volume of the last raise may occasionally provide the necessary hint.

If there is a sharp increase in the volume and momentum, the probability of a breakthrough level of resistance increases. After an unsuccessful breakthrough double peaks, ANDW formed large triple base. While the new reaction, and the maximum potential breakthrough of the double peaks appear bovine sign, the price subsequently fell back to the level of support.

. Technically, down trend is over, when the market has formed a higher minimum in March 1999. and has exceeded its maximum in January 1999. close above level 20 in July 1999. Even though top-down trend is over, it was difficult to characterize the trend as bullish after the third test of support near 11.

. During the 13-month period were formed three relatively equal wage - in October 1998. In March of 1999. and November 1999. When the maximum of July 2000. exceeded the maximum of January 1999., what should be a model "box" was deleted.

. The level of resistance at around 22 1 / 2 was broken in January 2000. Price closed above this key level for 5 consecutive weeks, affirming the breakthrough.

. Even though the volume has increased around the second and third minima, 10-day Exponential Moving Average volume decreased between the minima. Improving from a third accompanied by a significant increase in the minimum volume, which lasted several weeks. Line Accumulation / Distribution has formed a positive divergence in 1999 and broke to a new peak, along with the price in January 2000.

. After a break of resistance, twice the price fell below the 22 1 / 2 for the next 2 months. Based at least February 2000. and April 2000. a new level of support has been installed in the vicinity of 20. As the movement upwards was limited to a maximum of a breakthrough after 25 1 / 2, No less than 22 1 / 2 might be expected. Based on the resistance of October 1999., A critical support level could be seen at around 18 1 / 2.

. The market has built a base for the 13-month period. Even though the height of the model looks quite impressive, it is comparable to the length of the base. The length of this model and the subsequent break the long-term change in market sentiment.

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