Showing posts with label Bollinger Bands. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bollinger Bands. Show all posts

Monday, March 16, 2009

Moving Averages & Bollinger Bands Strategy

There are any number of indicators that traders can use. General indicators such as MACD and Stochastics are accessible and are often discussed. If there are 300 types of these indicators, I checked 298 of them. Let us in this article will discuss how the price schedule can be used in tandem with these conventional indicators.

Monitoring the movements of some of candles a day can be fun, and, although the trend lines on the tops and bases of candles can say more, we really need a little more information to provide the price action in perspective. Most of the usual price of graphic tools are Bollindzhera bands and Moving averages. Ask the 900 traders, as they use Moving averages and you'll get 800 different answers. So, let's look at one of the options for responses and discuss the use of upper and lower bands.

Moving Average is constructed, using the closing prices of period "n", where "n" is a long moving average. The upper and lower bands are constructed by placing two moving averages on the schedule, with a rolling average based on the maximum period, and another moving average, based on a minimum period.

If you use different length moving averages (MA), for example, MA with 13 periods based on the maximum period, and another MA in length 7, which was built on a minimum period, you get a price movement back and forth through these Moving averages, as well as intersection directly by moving averages. If you use the same length, say, MA with 13 periods for the two moving averages, the lines would never intersect, and you get a "band" for the price, which it will move.

The first graph shows the 5-minute schedule of ES with a black line for MA with 13 periods based on the maximum and the red line for MA with 13 periods, based on a minimum. To trade, one could go to the short side, if the candle closes below the red band (at least) and go a long way if the candle closes above the black band (maximum). The blue arrows show the entrances to the market, and the red arrows show where the outer band acts as a support or resistance.

Figure 1

How reliable this method? He is as reliable as any other. There is no commercial method that would have been without drawbacks. As the market changes are constant, there will always be a certain amount of price action that will give you false signals. Ever! Let me repeat it again - Always!

Graph 1 and Graph 2, which follows, you can see that when a strong trend, this method can show very good results.

These graphs look impressive, is not it? To no illusions about the real trade, let's look at figure 3.

Figure 2

As you can see, this method of shopping, like many others, terrible stumbles on volatile sideways market. Price moves back and forth across these lines, filing false signals, one after another. Also, please note the blue box - it shows another weakness of these bands - they are based on moving averages, which, in turn, are indicators of delay. The greater the length of moving average, it takes more time to react to Moving Average major price fluctuations, such as GEPy.

Figure 3

One way to get more information by using the bands and moving averages is to add stripes Bollindzhera on top of the upper and lower bands 13EMA. Add Bollindzhera strip length 21 with a standard deviation of 2 on the schedule.

Figure 4

Figure 4 you can see how there are some models. Central Line ????? Bollindzhera an intermittent blue line. The red arrows show where the upper and lower bands 13EMA crossed the center line Bollindzhera, indicating a strong momentum in the movement. The green arrow shows where the price rose above the upper 13EMA, giving a signal in the longest side, which was false. Notice how all the lines, including lines Bollindzhera are flat and neutral to each other.

Seeing this, you can wait until the second bar so that it closed above the upper 13EMA, to check the movement. Keep in mind that your entry criteria can be so conservative, as required by your personality.

You can think of a number of steps or criteria that must be present so that you can enter the market.

For example, the conditions for opening a long position:
1. Two candles must close above the upper 13EMA.
2. Lower 13EMA must converge to the center line Bollindzhera (or cross it).
3. The upper band should be celebrating Bollindzhera Top for 3 consecutive bars.

However, we must not only deal from these bands. As stated in the initial paragraph of this article, we look for any additional information we can get from indicators such as MACD and Stochastics.

Figure 5

The vertical purple line on the graph 5 shows, where the trading signals. The signal in the longest side MACD filed breakthrough trend line, but not confirmed until the price moves above the upper 13EMA, which also coincides with the intersection of bovine ADX. Later, the price closes below the lower 13EMA as soon as the ADX turns into disservice side, RSI crosses the middle line, and both MACD and Stochastics are about to cross the middle line. The more indicators confirms each other in the 2 bars, the stronger the signal.

For these upper and lower bands, I have tried everything from 9EMA to 55EMA, for the interim period from 1 minute to 270 minutes. There are many options for all trading styles. Spend some time experimenting with the parameters and find a model that will complement your style of trading.




Forex Magazine
based on www.esignal.com

Sunday, March 15, 2009

Application of Bollinger Bands on Forex

One key difference in currency trading and equities is that there is no volume to get a hint as to when a pulse has a sufficient stock of the strength - there is only price. For example, when trading in shares if the price consolidated immediately below a key resistance level at below-average volume, and then breaks at substantially increasing the amount it gives the trader more confidence in a breakthrough, because it shows that the major market players have shown their involvement in the form of volume. "The volume precedes price" as they say.

At the forex market, however, no such additional tips. There is only the price and nothing more. In this sense, Forex is very conducive to technical analysis, especially the concentration only on price activity. In this regard, when trading on the Forex it is important to wait for that price, reiterated its previous motion of the omni-range.

How can it be done? One of the simplest ways in which we can rely on is the use of the band Bollindzhera. The bands Bollindzhera can help determine when the price is ready to develop the trend, rather than consolidated, and in essence, by helping to answer the question: When it is ready to move?

All markets and alternates being omni-directional movement, and differentiation of these two phases is the determining when trading in the FOREX market. Who is not in the trend rate of the tool can be a trader losses, while the trend is developing a tool can offer great opportunities for profit. The ability to distinguish between these two stages are not using the volume to confirm, can significantly influence the outcome of trade. Let's look at the 60-minute schedule for the British pound:

You can see a very clear leap up and consolidation. Model of recovery of the GBP from 16 December to 18 December is a very good opportunity for trade. Look at bands Bollindzhera and pay attention as the line begins to widen the bands, as the price moves from the area of consolidation, then, the price of the top band "goes" above.

After such a "trip", the price starts to move away from the upper band, as she enters the stage of non-movement. The bands then begin to converge rapidly, reducing the distance, as price consolidates. Then, the model is repeated again. Knowing when the price trend is in motion, instead of omni, a trader can identify more precise points of entry and exit from the market, exactly how and to determine the time when the sound outside the market.

Below is a sample daily schedule NZD / USD. Notice how, in late December, "Kiwi" trading in a narrow sideways range, with strips Bollindzhera, reflecting the strong compression of the price range. This situation was preceded by explosive movement up as soon as NZD broke above the range that was observed rapidly expanding stripes. Identify short ranges, which occur before the starting direction of motion, may also help to provide further evidence that the "pendulum" has shifted back toward a strong trend, after being in a very narrow range:

Thus, bands Bollindzhera help navigate among these successive stages of consolidation and breakthroughs in the foreign exchange market, especially for traders accustomed to rely on short-term indicators of volume.

Examine the behavior ????? Bollindzhera when they are narrow and expanded to the extent of currency tools and use them to determine when the currency pair begins to resume its trend, and when she can go back to the consolidation. This will help you determine the inputs and outputs of fluctuations more accurately, just as the amount used in the stock market to more accurately determine when a sufficient force of buyers or sellers to move the share price up or down.



Forex Magazine
based on www.screamingquote.com