Monday, March 2, 2009

Five techniques of trade on the Fibonacci

Fibonacci was a fairly popular technology tool in the end of the last bovine market fund market. Prior to this, traders have used it on the futures market, while software packages to work in real time, not moved it in the stock market. Its popularity has increased, as traders experimented with its mystery in mathematics and discovered many advantages of this method.

Fibonacci ratios describe the interaction between trend and counter-trend movements - the restoration of 38%, 50% and 62% form the primary level of correction. Apply these percentages after the trend in either direction to predict the degree of counter-trend fluctuations. Put a grid of the most obvious waves up and down and see how the interest levels of overlap with the key price levels.

Coincidence graphic patterns and levels of recovery may indicate the excellent shopping opportunities. Keep in mind that the reconstruction work badly in a vacuum. Always check out maxima, minima, and moving averages to confirm the importance of a certain level.

Differences between the levels of recovery and basic graphics model of the market leads to a noise instead of profit. Leave this schedule, if there are contradictions between different aspects of the analysis. These differences produce large amounts of fast-turn at the price charts. In contrast, a strong correlation between levels of Fibonacci and graphical models in a very predictable turn at narrow price levels.

Let us consider the five techniques to improve your skills with the Fibonacci levels. Add these techniques to your arsenal of technical and apply them in their subsequent sale. We are confident that they will serve you very well for many years.

The first increase / First Failure

The first increase / First neudachaotmechaet the first 100% of th previous recovery trend in the format of your time. This provides early warning of the spread after the new maximum or minimum. 100% th recovery violates the basic direction of price movement and trend ends, where there was a correction. From this level, the old trend can recover, if he breaks through the old 38% of the first level. More often, traders will use this level to open the position with a small risk against the old trend.


Hunting for a parabola

Parabolic movement tends to occur between 0% - 38% and 62% - 100% Fibonacci levels in all the trends. This trend provides an excellent opportunity to find large movements when searching for deals. Watch for clusters formed in levels of recovery of 38% or 62%. Then use a simple strategy to trade on the breakthrough, when the price comes out of this area densities. The next impulse can be dramatic when the price moves like a magnet back to the old maximum or minimum. Of course, the strategy works only if you can find these levels in advance.

Continued GEPa

You can often determine the exact price at which end the rally or decline, using the continuation GEPa as a Fibonacci extension tool. Identify GEO, through its placement in the dead point of a vertical price wave. Then start the grid at the beginning of the Fibonacci trend and continue it so that GEO was under 50% th level of recovery. Continuation of grid points to the final price for the rally or fall.

Night grid

Select an active marketing tool, and start a grid with a maximum (or minimum) observed in the last hour of the session. Build a grid in the opposite direction to the minimum (or maximum) of the first hour the next morning. This sets a price wave that a trader can use to find intra-day turn and breakthroughs. Nighttime Mesh also offers a way to trade in the morning GEPe. GEO will often pass through the critical level of recovery and provide an opportunity to enter the market with little risk to the rollback.

Many traders can not decide where to begin Fibonacci grid. Here we offer you admission to help place it in the most convenient place. The absolute maximum or minimum price wave is not always the best starting point for the grid in most of the time formats. Instead, find a small double bottom or double top within the clusters, where the trend. Place one end of the grid for the second maximum (or minimum), instead of first. This would allow Elliott to take over a wave corresponding to the trend, in which you are trying to sell.



www.hardrightedge.com

Physical Market

The physical laws of the market

Trader is facing some difficulties, building a picture of market movement. While most of us recognized the existence of the conflict and find solutions in the price schedule, we are not able to use a reliable mechanic in the market our trading strategies. Fortunately, the repetitive elements of the graphic pictures offer a powerful hint to understand and manage the vital aspects of the development trend. After repeating the dynamics of crowd behavior, price action tends to follow the classical rules, which modern scientists use to the world.

This is likely not a random coincidence. Emotions and mathematics interact continuously, while they build the Fibonacci levels of recovery that we see every day, analyzing our schedules. These ratios provide a remarkable glimpse into the deep order, behind the normal price movement. It is based, convergence-divergence between the two market forces helps us to understand how to trade on market fluctuations. For example, we can look for schedules that are a model for a turn or break, which provide opportunities, but we are also seeing surges and ticks, to guess the emotional intensity of the crowd, and to predict where it peregorit or change direction.

Successful traders intuitively feel that the bilateral market mechanics as they cope with the art of speculation. Their advanced skills of the specific logic required for combining the functions of left and right hemispheres of the brain focused on the sale of the methodology. Perhaps future technical analysts measure quantitatively these profound interaction between the behavior of the market crowd, and the physical laws of nature, and even open up a new area of technical price forecasting. We, meanwhile, let's explore some basic characteristics of underlying physical nature of markets.

1. Objects in motion tend to stay in motion.

New traders are emerging on the market and with less side have sent the price momentum. At the early stages of new trends, increased mobility, but inertia tends to slow down the extent of price changes. This often creates a series of tests or mini-models of clusters, while the price of trying to avoid the influence of the old range. Ultimately, the impetus to overcome inertia and price movement takes a more vertical look. This freedom of movement actually reduces variability due to reduce friction, and unilateral market takes control of the situation.

New trends are very difficult to stop, even as they gain entrance. As with other objects in motion, trends nourish themselves as they draw fresh energy (of money and emotion on the part). This prompts the price to go well for conventional barriers such as the goals set by outside forces. But no trend can not last forever, or go to infinity. Just like its physical counterpart, opposite the market force will eventually stop or deploy directed price movement.

Simple friction slows the ball roll. Active trends experienced friction in the form of market gravity. Classic trading wisdom says that the rally needs buyers, but that the markets will "fall on their own weight" under certain circumstances. Unfortunately, the dynamics of this well-understood mechanism does not exactly correspond to that in nature. If it was identical, all the markets would fall to zero as soon as the purchase and sale depleted. In fact, retain some market value, assuming that each market has a hidden center of gravity, which will reach a price movement, if all members otoydut aside at the same time. The "central tendency" gently pulls market movement to hidden in the middle of a quiet time, but can act with extraordinary intensity, when the price activity creates a strong imbalance in the extreme market conditions.

Distance from the current price bar prior to this elusive market value measures the level of inefficiency at a time. It also determines the most of opportunities to trade on the movement. The stripes represent Bollindzhera usual tool for measuring the voltage in the hidden spring. But other indicators, which rely on the deviation from the middle, also perform an adequate job. And do not miss the simple graphical model. Certain formations may show the ineffectiveness of the primary through a simple set of price bars. For example, a candle "shooting star" after a strong rally signals monitoring trader on the invisible wall.

Central Supply Trends
Combine candle patterns and extremes Bollindzhera to reveal the hidden friction that will stop or deploy a strong market trend. Notice how "Immunex" crosses the upper band the 19 th of July, but rose within its borders a high candle "shooting star".

2. Each action causes an equal force to resist

Traders at all levels must deal with the wave motion on price charts. They define the basic cycles, which should be consistent policies, otherwise, they risk failure. At its basis, these waves reflect the ongoing battle between the bulls and bears, and the main axis of the range trend. Price is pushing forward to increase the involvement, but then pauses to check the previous boundaries and dispel variability. Price bars are compressed, the volume is reduced considerably and the trend pulls against its initial direction. But once the market returns to stable state, the cycle deystviyaprotivodeystviya suddenly restored, and the variability increases. Fresh impetus has re-awakening to a new trend of price level, or expands it back to its beginning.

But why the markets are not established between the two horizontal extremum, if the trend and counter-trend forces are equal and are directed against each other? The answer lies in how active markets scatter directed force. Each buyer must, ultimately, sell, and each seller must, ultimately, close the short position. This leads to layers of cycles which equality of price action and reaction over time. Traders watch this dynamic process in the trend on the different length schedules for the same market-based instruments. In other words, a separate market could show a strong rally in the afternoon schedule, down the market for 60-minute schedule, and the consolidation of the side for a 5-minute schedule - all at the same time. While this iterative process may seem chaotic, it actually reflects the polarity of the separation of the main counter-action. This three-dimensional axis of the trend range also has an additional benefit: their convergence creates many opportunities for trade on the movement.

Determine the location of these important opportunities through the convergence of a certain imbalance between the action-resistance through several layers of price activity. This logical analysis also supports the opposite attitude, which leads to successful trading on the oscillations. For example, while the crowd sees the possibility of buying when the price rises, due to high participation, swing-trader sees the effect of sellers, increasing in this market due to the entrance of new crowd of buyers. Well-being made, thanks to this type of irrational logic, generated by the recognition of the basic forces of nature in the physical market.

Differences temporary formats
Pricing activity in 3 formats, gives rise to different temporal perspectives on resistance and support, while "Qualcomm" tries to stop the sharp decline. Daily schedule shows turning "hammer" next to the 6-month minimum. 60-minute schedule shows bearish roll with a dangerous GEPom down, while the 5-minute schedule of the proposed short-term traders an excellent opportunity to earn a strong rebound from the round-level - 50.

3. The brightest star burns out faster than that emits a cold and dim light.

We measure the force or weakness of the angle of its trend increase or decrease. Common sense dictates that a steep price bars represent stronger price movement. But as the intensity of price changes directly interacts with the resistance trendline? To answer this question, we can rely on the characteristics of central tendency, discussed above. If each market to strive for basic fair value at each point in time, dynamic movement should reach that price in less time (lower bars) than the slow increase in the same direction. In other words, cool bars trend should burn and finish their movement much more quickly than the slow beverage trend.

Unfortunately, these angles are relative to the observer. Low price distorts movement on the charts with an arithmetic scale. The range of the degree of growth distorts movement on the graphs with a logarithmic scale. Therefore, before we can objectively measure how brightly lit market, our star, we must adopt a common system of price changes. Unfortunately, it is more difficult than it seems at first glance. Various image types and methods of forcing us to apply the measure, which often depend on software or service that we use. The most fruitful analysis adoptiruet common vision for a common database, so that visual comparison of the intensity of the trend was for a soil. Then we can use our eyes and simple standard deviation, to explore the length and stability of price changes.

Use a graphical method for finding the parabola that produce a strong turn. In contrast, swing-trader perspective, vertical price movement is seen as a prelude to correct with the same intensity in the opposite direction. Also, as a supernova signals the inevitable decline of aging stars, parabola said the market that his makeup trend is running out, and possibly the emergence of a strong correction. First, install a fixed percentage of the logarithmic scale between 15% and 20%. Then view the complete database with the steep angles of the short-term price changes. Isolate the markets with the highest price bars and the visible trends in excess of 45 degrees. Then reinstall the logarithmic scale for the market, so that the recent price activity filled the screen. Apply the standard bands Bollindzhera and look for bars that are good for the upper or lower band. Find your level of entry, while reducing down to a larger format and temporarily turning the model to determine the location of a smaller scale that fits well with the broader picture of the graphic.

Trends that are moved by very small angle is also predicting a decline of its own, but for different reasons. This spread should be increasing or decreasing the mechanics wedge models found at many price charts. As traders and investors want to vigorous action. They buy or sell so they can watch the price gradient to new levels. Minor trends will never meet this need for complacency. For example, the observed increase in the price in an upward trend to a new peak over and over again, but never collected enough momentum to accelerate the degree of recovery. Investors will eventually lose interest in this type of price action and deserters from the ship "in search of more exciting trading tool. The market is losing broad support, and finally falls into the abyss.

Raspolozhenie accelerations
An experienced trader finds the most dynamic trends in parabolic and then logs in natural levels of turn. Start by setting a fixed logarithmic scale (eg, 15% in figure A). Quickly browse your database and locate the most vertical price movement, up or down, which you can find. Come back to a more convenient scale schedule (Figure B) and apply three-dimensional graphical analysis method to find the entrance with a small risk.

4. Powerhouse leaves marks in the form of emission or radiation.

This classic principle of physics requires nebolshtgo move financial markets. The real possibility of trade appear to be possible, because they possess the characteristics of an impending directional price movement. This manifests itself in the participation of the crowd, the price action of the known boundaries, creating recurring pricing models, and convergence of technical indicators. Interpret these diverse market signs correctly, and collect consistent profit trading in the oscillations.

Engineers are building machines to explore and exhaust to measure their internal characteristics. For example, a device attached to the exhaust pipe of vehicle, said vehicle on the current internal state of the machine. Traders are building similar measuring tools to assess the internal condition of the market activity. But, just as engineers are developing tools to study a very narrow range of physical data, traders must limit input to specific market characteristics and filter out a lot of market noise, which can negatively affect profits.

Graphic models with correct prognostic power provided evidence that market-based engineers can define and measure. Radiation opportunities occurs through convergence of various elements in the narrow convergence of price and time. Each independent signal taut in this small point of the market increases the chances that trade will install a reliable result.

Reading a graphic picture of
While the projected graphs show the well-organized model for the expected price levels. "AMCC" starts with the Turning Islands (1), who finished a clear 5 wave Elliott (2). Price decreases by a maximum of 48 intermediate and 62% th level of recovery from the previous motion (3). The low concentration (4) is formed under the level of recovery. The bottom line Bollindzhera (5) extends downward, opening the door to drop the price. All signs point to the imminent first failed attempt (6), in which the price will recover 100% or more of the preceding movement trend. Trader measures such evidence, sells in the zone of accumulation, and waiting for models to work out the expected result.

Conclusion
Today's traders have great difficulties in organizing the market movement in the control structure and system performance. Too often, they ignore the important image data, because it does not fit into the convenient system of horizontal price limits. This obsession with finding just interpretable models demonstrates the inability of the trader to understand the more powerful the mechanics of price forecasting. Unfortunately, the concentration on a narrow strategy of performance akin to attempting to play music with one note. It works only when a fleeting moment requires a separate, flat sound.

Expand your knowledge through the application of physical laws of the market. Every aspect enhances your ability to make a profit on the fine aspects of the market crowd. Keep in mind that these natural forces to rely on mechanics, which many traders will have to accept. This allows you to receive important advantage on the road to successful trading. You may need an entire life, to explore these complex interactions between development rates and emotional crowd. But each part of this wonderful mystery adds new levels of opportunity to follow trade developments.



www.hardrightedge.com

Trend is my friend. Isn't it?


Recently, a fresh leaf book Vik Niderhoffera Practical Speculation, written after the collapse of his hedge fund Global Systems. Vic compares technical analysis with Hydro - devyatiglavym monster, poisonous breath that destroy the entire district. Refrain in the chapter entitled "Head Hydro technical analysis," reads a quotation from the Greek Myths "by Robert Graves:" Hydra dwelt in a boundless Lerneyskom bog, which has become a tomb for many unwary travelers. Will you, but it seemed to me that his first book was written by other colors. Who we are and who Vic - pathetic amateur and one of the sharks of Wall Street. But his peremptory tone makes excusably my idea - "And we do not zamahnutsya William, of Shakespeare?" - All the same to understand what distinguished so much about the technical analysis. We will be very useful peretryahnut bags with postulates tehanaliza that they are not packed in rigid dogma, and try to look at the whole situation from above.

For those who first heard about Vike, citing his self-portrait at the very beginning of book:

Let's start a conversation with the answer to a question that you may have asked themselves: "How did the new book is Victor Niderhoffera on speculation and investment? Is his own hedge fund investment is not bust in 1997?"

Until 1997, I stood firm on his legs in the financial world. Barclay Agency, which determines the top hedge funds, called me a better manager in 1996. I received the award "better-managed hedge funds and traveled around the world, reading lectures on markets and music in luxurious rooms with concerts pianist Robert Shrabe. I worked as a staff of brokers and analysts, the best graduates from universities, many of whom I knew for over 10 years. I was a partner of George Soros in many investment projects, we were inseparable from them, and on weekdays and weekends. Recently published a bestseller and instantly became my book The Education of a Speculator (1997). Funds, which I have managed finances, and my condition grew rapidly.

And suddenly everything collapsed. At the jargon of Wall Street I "burst."

Honestly, I was still in his first book alerted categorically dislike Vik Japanese candle. So much that I even had an idea - but he generally does the subject knows that his ridicule like this, in passing. The market teaches people cautious, a very balanced approach to all methods of analysis, whether the Japanese candle or macroeconomic data - what's the difference? In all, it is important to be a balance and remember that the market will not do 100% case. Once again I emphasize that we are doing is not criticizing the position of Vik and tried to clarify for themselves how to apply to the methods of market analysis. We have a deal, which really is up to criticism. And this self-portrait, we will return later.

So, Hercules, fighting monster otshibal Hydro head club, but in its place grew two new ones:

Heracles still lucky. When we casually looked at the menu of technical indicators to monitor the agency Bloomberg, they saw not nine, but a dozen of colorful charts, each of which, in our view, represented a mortal threat to the investor. These were the graphics adaptive moving averages, the regression line, cash flow, parabolic foot strip Bollindzhera different oscillators, relative strength indicators, envelopes lines, stochastic indicators-tori (bars and candles), graphics tic-tac-toe, exponentially smoothed graphics, lines of growth / fall, TICK, TRIN, Fibonacci levels and options to build a direct line between any maximums and minimums, which will interest you on the schedule.

Stop, I say myself. If svalennye in a heap of technical methods and computer analysis, which we find in all our trading terminal, and there is a subject for discussion - so we will not leave. Because I do not see this subject, see only the label - all of this heap is the head of Hydra. Okay, let's say - the head, then what? Then Heracles comes to understanding that it was time to head-end and eliminate the source of the problem - cauterize fire one neck, so as not to

And this is exactly what we are going to do here. We intend to appeal to the common key to all methods of technical analysis of the topic and put it the test of fire. " This theme, the main question is: "Is the trend - is your friend?" In order to obtain a representative sample of variations of the famous sayings "trend - your friend," we appealed to the "Book of the rules of investment for global investors: invaluable advice from 150 masters recognized investment" by Philip Jenks and Stephen Eketta. We found that more than two dozen treyderov repeated with different variations of "trend - is your friend." Here are some examples:

- "The trend your friend in the last hour" (Alan Farley)
- "Do not sell stocks when prices go up" (Simon Koukvell)
- "To draw trend lines' (John Murphy)
- "Often, that quoted a low, will fall even lower, but the fact that the quoted high - will continue to rise" (Marc Faber).
And our favorite:
- "Of course, the trend - is your friend, until replaced by another trend (Thomas Demark).

None of the authors of these regulations has not tried to verify them through even the simplest test. In fact, check the "Trend - your friend is" impossible, because it has never formulated a hypothesis that can be tested. There is something evasive, subjective, even mystical in the way the rule is interpreted and used.

Oh, Vic, this is - not the neck Hydro! Rather, your corn, and I will have it happen. That is what concerns me, I belong to the trend of calm and even cautious: it is not my friend, not matchmaker, and no brother. And I belong to it easier, as the objective reality of the current time. If I see a sufficient depth for the purchase of the trend and the opposite - do not see any signs of slowing down or turn - and if I see a divergence in the trend on a computer display, then I buy. Because I know from experience that in 7-8 cases out of 10, this position will give me a good profit. Because I, unlike you, as a good 80% of speculators, there is no corporate data sources or friends, officials, because I was not informed sharks in the market, and fry.

I have no other means of analysis of the market than those that exist in my head. As well as the remaining 80% treyderov, technicians, and if we are all more or less seeing the same market situation, the price will go - where it denetsya something? Is that - any shark intervene and all eat together. So it is 2-3 cases of 10, nothing - utremsya, not the first nor the last time. Or - ostopyat us, or we - when they saw the negative signs - themselves will scoot to the market.

We, the young, are not so stupid as to persist in their positions and stand for a long time trend. As for me, I prefer the other saying, a la "all the motions - not zaberesh" or "snatch their money - and flee!"

Thus, trend is my friend, this is - not the neck. Rent me - if you do not hesitate a long time - it must be sought elsewhere, such as small axioms of Charles Dow. Rent me, our favorite Tom Demark answer to this question briefly and clearly, and I had spread to three paragraphs - I hope that my efforts were not in vain.

One can assume that some enthusiasts of the trends have been successful, but it is doubtful that their higher intelligence and that they are visionary than we are.

Oops! If you knew how much blood I drank from these same enthusiasts - stupid followers of trends, which continue to the most boring, creeping manner, drives the price of time Moving. At that time, as all normal people have taken a counter-trend position on the obvious signs of a turn. What is there to hell, the intellect, they have not yet sharahnesh a club and not ostopish they did not see in the market, except for their favorite Moving.

And one more - all kinds of enthusiasts and fanatics are always a sense of fear, but - and here tehanaliz? This is very different in the game: "Make the fool to pray to God, he rasshibet forehead."

It should go back and address some fundamental problems:

1) Is the central rule of technical analysis "trend - is your friend" right?

2) Can be a purely random good and bad results, which have made followers of technical analysis?

Too me, the fundamental.
1) This is not a central rule, and it is true, then false, as the market itself.

2) They have nothing else is left, do not worry as Elliot draw.

To begin with we note that following the trend runs counter to common sense. Take the 2 points on the graph the movement of prices, and connect them directly to pursue this line. If a later time point than the earlier, the line rises. If on the contrary, it falls straight down. What does this mean, in addition, that raise or lower the price?

Practical experience says a lot, if the trend line is built correctly. If the price of its test, but not worn through it back ahead, not noticing, the line is correct. Are encouraged to check with the method of construction of lines and selection of points for the same Tom Demark - better than anything on this topic has not yet been seen. At the same time look at the price projectors, if the "correct" line of holes - they are helping to define the objectives of Perforation. And now for the items:

1) deal properly constructed of such lines, or even better - levels, and you realize that this is simply and profitably. Just - sapporte to buy and sell on rezistanse and - never do the opposite. And you will always be in cash.

2) The first or second line test (level) means that the price of cannon and make money. On the third or fourth time can break, be careful. After a wait of Perforation return to the line (level), and "flip" - of Perforation on the deal until the next nearest sapporta or rezistansa and - did not dream that his probyut again, and collect his own.

3) Each currency test lines (levels) in different ways, examine the nature of the currency. For example, the sterling, as a rule, can not live without "spikes" - has yet to gather the foot of the line will not rest. Write to the amendment and did not rush the position until he made a "thorn" (incidentally, poostorozhnee with sterling spike is not always necessary, and of Perforation may be true - that even fellow). Euro test line more or less accurately, it all depends on the current mood of the market: sometimes can "nedotyanut (not greedy), sometimes runs tight and" punctured ", but the cost of closing an hour later returned. In general, the yen has its own, Oriental life, and for a long time to describe its nature is not a current issue.

4) Do not forget about the sharks, they are really for sure these lines are not considered (the same 2-3 cases out of 10). Or - even so, they can watch us here in the ambush.

And so on.
With regard to follow the trend, my class is too long not enough. I'm at the first signs of a turn can run more smoothly and the market itself and open to the trend early, which leads to "evaporate" position. And as far as we know Vic is aggressive in his famous story "The Old treyder and yen," remember in the previous issue of "stock the classics." Yes, and his fund, Global Systems, has failed in this same case, the counter-trend:

In order to increase revenue and be the first, I had invested in the stock market in Thailand - a country about which I knew very little. In the States, if the value of bank shares fell by 90%, you can confidently predict that soon it will rise. Obviously, this law does not work in Southeast Asia. The largest Thai bank, in which I put the fixed assets, incurred huge losses - the value of its shares fell by 99%. The losses depleted my reserves. About what happened later, I still hurt to talk - too little time has passed. Suffice it to say that the drop in Asian markets and the impact on the U.S. - the Dow Jones fell in one day on an unprecedented 550 points. It was enough that, according to a special rule, the Exchange on that day had closed at 2 o'clock afternoon. The next day I was forced to close my fund, as well as from brokers received numerous marzhin-Collet (dovnesti requirements for the margin account), I could no longer perform.

The history of life, I once again apologize for corn, and I have nothing against the methods of analysis of Vik and his trading strategy. Much more important is we all clearly understand that the market still there is nothing 100% case, and will be fun to live.




Evgeny Romanov
"Alien Money

How to plan your success?


Your business plan - this is your personal project successful trade. It includes not only your goals, but also a detailed plan of how you plan to get there. This plan should go beyond the limits of your trading methodology. It should include not only the structuring of your trading environment, but an entire life. Your brain and mind are your main assets in the trade. How do you plan to protect them during the year?

Your business plan should be structured to motivate you to make higher profits in your account. This sounds like a matter of course, but you have to really fight to get out of each recession. You must have the approval of his plan - not to give a minimum percentage of the profit. Your trading plan should include all the details, such as: what market you're selling, what strategies you will follow, and what leverage you use. Only with regard to the sale you will be able to avoid emotional trading decisions.

I am sure that is never too late to start thinking about working on the business plan during the current year. Also, never too early to start thinking about creating a business plan for next year. Because it will take some time to think about those things about which I am going to talk and work on your own program.

Trade in the abstract and have so many issues and decisions that will arise and should be done during the day. Your goal as a trader is to execute its plan and draw conclusions from that. The daily plan helps to ensure the order of the day, the organization and structure. But before you think about how to build your daily game plan, you must first create a broader annual business plan. During the formation of your larger business plan, you will develop a program specifically for the trade itself. Many of the questions we receive relate to the way in which trade patterns follow a temporary format used to trade, how to place orders, and in which markets to trade. Your business plan should include all these issues.

When you develop your program, you should think of themselves as their very best customers. Your account - this is your client. Your goal should ultimately be to design the type of program, where you will be able to trade multiple accounts, or, think about that Would you like to add only one client. You need a very specific type of program to provide this customer, and then, assuming that they will monitor your trading activities every day, you'll be more than good faith on its next program. Points of leverage and money management will be discussed in this "program" as the markets in which to trade, recession, made the types of transactions, etc. I will share with you some of the ways in which I am developing a program. Before I do so, the business plan includes much more. It should also include goals and motivational factors, as well as rules and basic principles, and plans to keep you out of the transaction or dangerous places where you feel most weak.

I believe that, as a trader captured the market, it is difficult to choose a free time. So to me it is very easy to reach the point of combustion. I have the tendency to hold too many positions. Taking positions on the last day of the quarter, it seems, is my Achilles heel. Therefore, I make very clear the condition in its business plan for next year - have large positions at the entrance to the last day of the quarter. If you want to leave yourself some freedom to violate the rules because you're still developing its business plan, think about these rules. Think about what the rules really suit you best. This is why, I said that it might take a while.

I will tell you the essence of my program, and then you see how easily design your goals around your plan. I have separate accounts, one for transactions skalpirovaniya, and one for position transactions. Now it is easy to design the different objectives for each program. For example, if the market S & P - this is the only market where you sell, one goal may be to reach a certain level of activity in skalpirovanii S & P. This may be your main program, or designed as complementary activities. If you have a goal to do a number of transactions skalpirovaniya per week, you request from me is not so much.

You will include a position or transaction index options in its program? Look at their past sales success. Easy to break if you stick to the more profitable short-term skalpirovaniyu, or how long the positions you actually add. I like to keep active skalpirovaniyu of S & P, alone for long positions, I prefer to use the NASDAQ futures market as a separate instrument. For transactions carried out on the domestic futures market, I try to keep the position where a 2 - 8 days. Sometimes I'll be trading in bond during the day, but I try to play with the transfer of positions to the next day to most markets. This is my basic program.

So, in essence, I have three separate programs: S & P skalpirovanie, short-term fluctuations in the trade, based on the classic graphic patterns and long-term positional trading, which may include shares, options, mutual funds, etc. You should think about their combination that will work for you and will be well organized as to how you intend to manage their money. Each account must have a certain level of funding and the number of positions that can be traded.

It also should be the basic principles of leverage and money management rules for each type of trade. Most of the time, I am not using my full range. I traded 1 contract in the "x" units of the amount from my account. Determine the size of the unit directly for themselves. As your account grows, you'll be able to add another contract. These things should all be stated in your business plan.

With regard to the objectives, you can organize them in two ways. Some people set the goal in the dollar for their trade activities. I actually avoided doing so in the past, but instead decided to concentrate on maintaining a certain amount of activity. I assess, I did all that could each day and the profit is concerned about himself. Sometimes the dollar amount of the installation can be daunting during periods of recession or provoke you to perform a transaction when no kleitsya. This year, I want to have its largest trading year for all time-it will be my goal.

But for some people, the best goal may be to do a certain number of transactions on a regular basis. This helps to achieve big objectives. I would like to reach half of my goals for my account for intra-day trade and half on its account for positional trading. Now the question is sometimes profits are distributed unevenly. If you set the goal for myself to do 3 points on the S & P a day for each contract, whether you retire when you do these three items? No, I do not have to. If you are "on the horse, and feel confident, then we should continue to trade. If your 3 points you won easily, why should you care? You can make a very good basis for the next day or even in the event of a loss.

But you should have some basic principles. This will serve as your motivation, first, to make a deal! You must have a reason to press the button, because it is often too easily contained, being aggressive. Set a goal that you can not only achieve, but can and exceed. So, once again, if you're a beginner, a beginner with a small account, perhaps, your goal will be to make 8 points S & P in a week. How do you intend to achieve this? If you have a small capital, you do not want to sell at a long temporal format. You must find a 1-2 day period where you can enter and make 2 points.

Now, you spread your goal into smaller parts. How you can take risks with each transaction? When I do a deal skalpirovaniya, I automatically at risk of not more than three points. If you decide that you may not risk more than 2 points, you find yourself faced with the need to be careful when choosing your site. You should be able to see their point of risk before you enter the market. See the market turn, and then enter the market and as close as possible to the rotation. Thus, it can be "program" with which you can start. Now, what would happen if you start with your program skalpirovaniya to be so for several days, the market may be sluggish or variable. You may feel a little bit behind his goal. But then one day, your 2 points into 5 points, or you are active and doing more transactions and more than its goal. OK?

Not davite themselves to do a certain number of transactions every day, but you should have a directive to what you would like to achieve for the month. Then at the end of the month, you ask yourself, how your work is in line with your business plan? If it is a bit inconsistent, it is required to be accurate? The biggest things that hinder a trader to carry out his plan: to yield to emotions, to forget to put a stop-order or stubborn loops on a single transaction. These are the things that I know of.

But perhaps to make all these mistakes and still continue to make money. Surprisingly, the markets may be more forgiving than we think. Only a few constancy. So, every month, set a goal to do a better job than a month ago. All you have to do - is to work to make fewer mistakes.

More on some parts of the plan - preserving the record and structure. These are equally important parts of your business plan. And there is why. Agenda and rituals keep things automatic. Additionally, they help to set up a daily game plan (to which we come later). Trader must get to the point where only one thing - to make a deal. At the end of the day, I record all my daily transactions. This may seem a futile effort, because the data already entered in the record on my computer, and I just write it on paper. But this ritual brings me some relief, because I can close the adoption of all decisions and make some rough therapeutic work. I relax on the mechanical problems and rough work, because I should not think at this time. This is - ritual that cleanses my mind from the good and bad, that happened during the day.

I also have a sheet where I record each transaction, and, more recently, I have become more diligent in carrying out their paperwork at the end of each day. I had the habit of doing so during the eighties, but ceased in the past few years. Part of my business plan for this year include becoming more involved in the retention of records. I track the number of cuts on each transaction and the average time of maintaining the position for each type of transaction. As you can see, you must itemize your game as much as possible, to drag themselves into the game, increasing the intensity.

The aim was not to burn yourself - this is the wrong idea. You do not need to focus on each of prevention, but rather the opposite. Try to control the market, being free and relaxed. Sometimes the best deal sluchatsya "from the corner of your eye." For example, perhaps you saw the market for a few days. You do your daily homework, watching how the events unfolded. Then, when the market begins to act in a certain way, affirming that your analysis is correct, you should be there.

You can not force events, but when you're relaxed, you will be better to see them. The best way to stay relaxed and emancipation is to be involved in some kind of ritual. Like tennis players, who toss the ball up and down several times before you submit - it is a ritual to stay emancipation. The same tricks are used in trade. You can automatically draw graphs of fluctuations on the paper during the day, record the values of periodic ticks, or to observe the extreme price levels.

I hope that you have yet grasped the basic idea. But - another example. The man, whom I worked when I was first traded on the "Philadelphia Exchange" was a physicist. He spent 1.5 hours there before the market opened and there was still over half an hour after closing. He was very methodical and organized, writing a warrant in advance. He was quiet and modest, and as I learned later, he was also there, one of the most successful traders. It still sells, and no less successful.

There are some common traits that I have noticed among the traders who succeed. They all have a routine and rituals. You have to balance between abstract conceptualization process, which requires the market and some physical action.

Your business plan should include the establishment of a daily plan for the Games each day of trade. What strategy are you going to use for the next day? Is it true that the market should be during the day to begin to form a small range of trade? Or he is ready for a breakthrough - a potential trend day? There is an opening game in the morning? For example, there is a morning sale, there will be an opportunity to purchase from the depth? Or the rally will be short? Your game plan may include the sale of the previous highs, or to purchase back to the time moving average.

In managing the long-term deals, you are likely to save them if you have a clear written instructions move the stop-order. Write down your level of stop and continue to move it, as the market moves in your direction. My favorite way to move the stop-order is to use the channel to stop the two bars, or use the hourly rates of resistance and support. During the downward trend, I will move the stop order just above the last hour fluctuations up, but at the time of a rising trend, I will give him more space and will move the stop order below the minimum of two hours ago levels. Move your stop-order is not down for the last oscillation, and one in front of him. Because markets are more likely to go back to the correction of the type ABC. There is no perfect way to move the stop-order - they all have their drawbacks.

Sometimes, trading in another market may be a good diversification to prevent you take profits too early on the position that works. You must allow time to work for you in a winning position.

Game Plan - Business Plan - full of trading environment, just start thinking about the way in which you actually follow. Descended to the level of a single day during the recording process. Even if you are a position trader, you must not think about too-distant future, you should plan one day, even if it is - only the process of market surveillance. Your goal should be to do a better job, which you can on that day. Follow his rules and his game plan during the day. If the market moves in a manner not provided by your game plan, then that's OK. Bad game plan is always better than no plan at all. At least, if your game plan is wrong, you know, what mistake, and it has great value.

You can skip million transactions, but you should not miss the one you have waited in line with your game plan. You can also adjust their game plan throughout the day. Perhaps you were hoping to sell after the rally in the opposite direction from the level of resistance, but the market has gone through it. It is normally said to myself: "because the market has not gone where I intended, it could imply that there is a strong movement in the other direction." Perhaps then it would have signaled that we should go and start to look for opportunities to buy. Do you have an idea!

Below is a list of some types of questions that you can include in its annual business plan. It tells you what is working. Start thinking about compiling a professional program consisting of a small visible part of which you may realize.

1. As a technique, or on what models you want to trade? Well have a "library" systems, but most people focus more on niche or a certain technique.

Learn to do one thing consistently well instead of trying to use too many styles.

2. Which markets are you going to sell? If you sell shares, think about the maintenance of "sustained" a set of shares with which you work. Do not miss too many tools with which you do not know. If you have not achieved great success, selling in any market-based instruments, why try to sell them in the future?

3. What are you going to put capital in your trading account? Here I must add something - relinquish tracking percent return in the evaluation of their work, such as a percentage of income or loss to your personal account. Focuses instead on dollar values. What is your dollar tolerance? For instance, I start to feel it does not matter if the loss of a certain number of dollars. Interest can vary depending on how much money you have in the account. You can have a net worth of $ 1 million and keep $ 100,000 in his trading account and your situation will be completely different from the person who has a $ 5 million and holds 100,000 in a merchant account. A person with a higher equity capital will feel more free to use different types of leverage. So think in dollar terms - how many dollars you want to get and are willing to lose?

4. How do you plan to enter, leave, and manage your positions? I love to share my position size in two parts. Sometimes I go into the market all the volume and then measured in half. Another time I start with half and see where to add the other half. In some positions I hold half as the kernel and use the other half for skalpirovaniya. Regardless of your style, it should be written in your plan.

5. As stated in your plan on how to manage the recession? How do you evaluate when to take a break?

6. What are your monthly goals? You are going to strive to do a certain number of transactions each week, or perhaps a number of items? Remember this - the basic principles to measure your progress. Some months are better than other months. The end of the month is an appropriate time to make a periodic review. Most businesses do this on a monthly or quarterly basis.

7. Include routine in your overall business plan. How are you going to evaluate their work every day? Make notes about those things that you do correctly. Encourage yourself to the small moral victories. Pay attention to the small improvements that you are doing.

8. Create a working environment designed to facilitate the work. Eliminate distracting elements and the influence of external factors. Arrange your workstation so that you were comfortable. Spend on good equipment and excellent data feed.

9. The conditions that may hinder you to sell, creating stress, if they occur, regardless of you, for example, health, relocation, family circumstances, etc. Trade - this is based on work discipline. If you can not execute it well, it is better to abstain altogether. If a player tennis badly sprained his ankle ligaments, duel, he cancels.

10. Storage report - assessing themselves, their routine, their structure and homework. You are doing research or have any way to record the results? What kind of study is included in your program or a plan? My problem is that I lay too many projects at the second turn. I have to rationalize it for themselves. Or, I am inclined, making study to go late at night and arrive too late. After that, I feel somewhat uncomfortable all day. My business plan includes a time of sleep. I pledge myself to adhere to this.

11. Award! You must have an outside interest or hobby to relax from the markets at the end of the day. You must afford something, what you really want. If you spend money on yourself, you must discard all thought of poverty. Evaluate yourself for a million dollars, and you soon will be worth it. I have something conceived for themselves, if I fulfill my goals for next year.

12. And finally, how do you plan to continuously improve itself? Think of yourself as a man with wisdom related to health, work and life. How will you continue to move forward in life? You know the old saying - if you do not go forward, then you go back? Educational development such as books and courses is very important, but do not neglect the spiritual development or external projects, may be to open your own website, start its own sales network, write his own book about his experiences in trade and not only.

All of the above questions are more important for long-term success of your stay in this business than any trade indicators or install! People do not lose money from the entrance to the bad deal. They lose money from becoming driveller in its trade and driveller in their habits and lifestyles. They allow the emotional transactions zapolzat in their program because they have not done their homework and are not ready. Your business plan - a contract directly with itself. This - the contract is regarded himself as their best customers. Neighborhood directly to the main principles, rules, and the total structure can be a means to liberate you from the worry and gives you confidence that you can raise their trade to the next, higher level.



www.lbrgroup.com

Programming in MQL 4: Plug-ins and import functions

Further acquaintance with the language MQL4 would like to begin with a general discussion on the effectiveness of labor programmers. Source code programs are usually created not with a "clean sheet", as the basis for virtually all the programs fit the existing developments. Architects programs have long been accustomed to use the entire library of blanks as bricks to create new programs. In this connection, the programming language, which does not allow use of existing works, or requiring great effort to have once performed the work is perceived as inconvenient.

Naturally, the need for constant repetition of the same code, making minimal changes, is a routine task, and may permanently discourage creativity, even in the most patient programmer. No one would want for the umpteenth time to write a block of code, sort the array. Another case where it is possible to arrange frequently used, and once written blocks of code in the form of functions. In the last issue of Forex Magazine we already wrote about the possibilities of working with functions added to the programming language MQL4. Fortunately, the developers of MetaQuotes Software is not limited to these innovations and added to the MQL 4 at least two possibilities for the reuse of code.

The first of them - the opportunity to include the files in its program files. This allows you to build your own functions that perform related actions in the individual modules (files).

Second - this is an opportunity to connect to the program at the MQL 4 functions of libraries written in other programming languages and executed in a Shared libraries (dynamically linking libraries - DLL).

To use one of these opportunities - to include in its program file from another file, in MQL 4 adds the directive "# include". This idea is adopted from the C programming language. The following example illustrates the use of the directive "include" for the file of your program file "MyDefines.mq4"

# include

Suppose that the file "MyDefines.mq4" We keep the functions that extend the functionality of the string language MQL4. For illustrative example in the same way that these functions 20. Without a directive "include", we would have to use one of the following ways:

- Either to compile each of the 20 functions as a separate user-defined function, stored in a separate file, which obviously would be some confusion in the work of the library;

- Or would have to store all the functions in a single file, and at the time of writing the program to insert the correct one in its program by using the copy / paste, more preferably less than the previous version. Since functions can be used in the work of each other, when pasted into the program of a function we would have to carefully trace the links and copy all the functions used by the function of interest to us.

The directive "include" saves us from both described problems. In addition, the compiler language MQL 4 is smart enough to pick from the included file, only those functions that may be caused in the process compiled program. This ensures that the program would not be unreasonable to rise after adding any new functions in the plug-file library, unless, of course, they will not directly or indirectly used in the code.

Consider a second opportunity to reuse code, but in this case, we are no longer limited to their own ideas. A DLL-library with exported functions can become the object of our attention.

To connect to the program for the MQL 4 functions of libraries written in other programming languages in the form of DLL, should take advantage of the directive "# import". An example shows how a standard that is included with Windows, the library user32.dll import function MessageBeep ():

# import "user32.dll"
int MessageBeep (int uType);
# import

I think that many programmers have already understood, and thus an opportunity to apply to almost any function of Win32 API. Also, this feature allows you to independently write any more or less developed its own programming language DLL-library that can be realized, our most ambitious dreams.

Incidentally, the first examined the capacity perfectly complements the second. Of course, we could include in our import program of the library functions as needed, but, for future use, it would probably be easier once and for all "roll" in a separate file import functions from a library and include it in the program directive "include" whenever this is necessary.

Suppose that we are interested in some of the functions stored in a file MyLib.dll, which are often used during the writing of several indicators, which, in turn, used in the experts. Once writing a file, for example, MyLib.mq4, which imported all sorts of functions from MyLib.dll, we will facilitate your work. Now we do not have to import each individual function from the DLL-library. Should be easy to incorporate into our program file MyLib.mq4 hold any of the hidden in MyLib.dll exported functions. File MyLib.mq4 will contain the following strings:

/ / This is the content of the file MyLib.mq4
# import "MyLib.dll"
int Function1 (int uParam1);
int Function2 (int uParam1);
int Function3 (int uParam1);
int Function4 ();
int Function5 (int uParam1,
int uParam2);
# import

Then the program uses a function of Function5 MyLib.dll, will be able to do so:

/ / Connect MyLib.mq4 to the program # include

int init ()
(
int nRet = 0;
/ / Do something ...
nRet = Function5 (10,20);
/ / Do something else ...
return (0);
)

Here are today and everything would like to tell. After the release of Meta Trader 4, we will come back to this interesting topic and will consider specific examples described above.




Alexander Ivanov

Writing Experts for MetaTrader. Lesson number 21

Hello dear readers. This week I have a lot of questions from you, so this lesson will be entirely devoted to responses to your questions.

Question - Answer

Andrew Sirotkin sent 2 interesting question.

1. I want a trading expert in a particular pair, but I could play on the other hand. In the expert input is subject
if TotalTrades <1>
But because I have to manually open positions on the other pair, the entrance to the expert can not be realized (because if TotalTrades already = 1) for the pair to which is attached expert.
What can I do?
.. "

Answer:

/ * [[
Name: = test
Lots: = 1.00
Stop Loss: = 0
Take Profit: = 0
Trailing Stop: = 0
]] * /
var: cnt (0), tt (0);
for cnt = 1 to totaltrades (if OrderValue (cnt, VAL_SYMBOL) = Symbol then tt = tt +1;);
if tt = 0 then (...

Thus, we count only the number of positions open for the pair to which the expert. Login is subject tt = 0 and the number of positions for the remaining pairs can be anything.

2. Can I do that would be an expert to understand what the deal was opened it, and what I discovered? This is necessary for trade opportunities and the expert hands of one couple. ... "

Answer:

Special IDs for open positions in MT no. To identify the positions of convenient size of the lot (with the DC which supports fractional dimensions). For example, you play 1 hand lead, but an expert on the same pair, you can trade 1.1 lots, or 0.9. Mm from this greatly affected, although, of course, is an imaginary solution, but nothing remains.

var: cnt (0), tt (0);
for cnt = 1 to totaltrades (if OrderValue (cnt, VAL_SYMBOL) = Symbol and
OrderValue (cnt, VAL_LOTS) = lots then tt = tt +1;);

It looks at first, but weeding is still open positions and size of lot.

Alexander E. asked.

"Can I close some open positions, such as achieving certain profit ..."

Answer:

Yes this is possible, but not all, DC.

ID Expert is roughly this:

.......
lot = 0.5;
for cnt = 1 to TotalTrades
(
if OrderValue (cnt, VAL_TYPE) <= OP_SELL and
OrderValue (cnt, VAL_SYMBOL) = Symbol then
(
If OrderValue (cnt, VAL_TYPE) = OP_BUY then
(
if (bid-OrderValue (cnt, VAL_OPENPRICE))> 20 * point then (
CloseOrder (OrderValue (cnt, VAL_TICKET), lot, Bid, 3, Violet);
Exit;
);

);
If OrderValue (cnt, VAL_TYPE) = OP_SELL then
(
if (OrderValue (cnt, VAL_OPENPRICE)-ask)> 20 * point then (
CloseOrder (OrderValue (cnt, VAL_TICKET), lot, ask, 3, Violet);
Exit;
);
);
);
);)
........

CloseOrder (OrderValue (cnt, VAL_TICKET), lot, Bid, 3, Violet);

In this feature, the fourth parameter is a variable lot, do not confuse it with the registered variable lots.
In the variable lot earlier in the code of the expert we determine what part of the position closing. We need to remember one time using this approach, it is necessary to limit the closing of the position one time.

Until now, come questions about the timeout. Dear readers, before you ask questions, I recommend strongly to read all issues of the journal.

To comply with the timeout (10 seconds time limitation of DC), after opening a position, you should use the following link at the beginning of an expert.

if curtime-LastTradeTime <11 then exit;





Halhalyan Arthur
artur@fxtest.ru

Sunday, March 1, 2009

20 golden rules Trader

Want to trade successfully? Choose only the good positions and avoid the bad. Bad shopping choice carries a heavy loss because it decreases your confidence, and drains the wallet. You face many crossroads during each market day. No system of discipline in the decision-making, impulse and emotion will undermine the skills because you will choose the wrong market-based instruments at the wrong time.

Many short-term traders are trading as a form of game. Without planning and discipline, they throw money into the market. Occasional big win reinforces this easy money and attitude to prepare them for eventual failure. Without the protective regulations, major players are easy to feed from these losers and throw them from the market.

Technical analysis teaches traders to execute positions based on numbers, time and volume. This discipline forces traders to distance themselves from the rash of gambler. Through the impartial execution and solid risk management, short-term trading is beginning to finally "work."

Markets follow similar patterns many times. Research on the trend allows you to build systematic rules to these formations and avoid repetitive chase "for the passing train."

Here are the golden rules of the trader, which will allow you avoid many mistakes and make your trade more balanced:

1. Forget the news, remember the schedule. If you are not strong enough to know how news will affect price, refer to the schedule. The schedule already takes into account the news to be expected.

2. Buy the first rollback of the new maximum. Sell at the first setback of the new minimum. There is always a crowd that missed the first boat and want to be in the second.

3. Buy at support, sell at resistance. Everyone sees the same level, and all just waiting to jump into a stream.

4. Short rally - did not sell. When markets are falling, sales profit, and finally become ready for recovery.

5. Do not buy below the main moving average and sell above it. See item 3.

6. Not the momentum, if you do not see a way out. Suppose that the market is fully spread when you are logged. If it is - a long way "to exit", then you are in big trouble.

7. GEPy depletion filled. GEPy break and continue there. The wisdom of the old traders is to end. Bidding in the direction of GEPa whenever you can.

8. Trends test the levels of previous support / resistance. Sign in here, even if it is damaged

9. Bidding in the direction of teak, and not against it. Do not build up a hero. Go in the direction of flow of money.

10. If you must go, it is not here. Forget about your degree and trust your instincts.

11. Sell the second high, buy the second minimum. After a sharp reverse, the first test of any maximum or minimum is always faced with resistance. Watch for a breakthrough with the third or fourth attempt.

12. Trend - your friend. As the volume rises, do not expect anyone to change the channel.

13. Avoid opening. It is in these moments you're most vulnerable.

14. 1-2-3-DOWN-UP. Look for a turn after descending trend peaks, two lower peak and a double base.

15. Bulls live above the 200-day moving average, bear below. Sellers eat up rallies below this key moving average line, as buyers come above it.

16. Price has memory. What price the last time, when it reached a certain level? There is a possibility that she will do it again.

17. A large amount of traffic kills. Issue couple during the climax of the captures and the buyers and sellers, and leads to the opposite effect.

18. Trends never deployed instantly. Facing pages are built slowly. The first sharp drop always finds buyers, and the first sharp rise always finds sellers.

19. To form the foundation needed more time than the top. Fear acts more quickly than greed and causes a market instrument to fall under its own weight.

20. Take money from the crowds and go. You have to take their money before they take yours.

20 golden rules trader (2)

Exploitation of market turns.

Facing pages in the first test of a new maximum or minimum are fairly common. Investors double peaks after the first pass out, while players on the purchase of undervalued instruments dual grounds. Skilled traders also use this well-known tendency to turn to enter counter-trend position.

Markets always come back to check previous support or resistance, if a natural barrier (such as GEPa continuation) is not in their way. In addition to price and graphical models, conventional Moving averages also provide a classic point.






www.hardrightedge.com